The SPC has added Tallahassee under a slight risk of severe weather starting Tuesday morning. The primary threats are damaging winds and small hail.
A low and accompanying cold front is moving east across the eastern U.S. Aloft, a trough is dug into the southeastern states.
The ECMWF (aka “The Euro”) and the American GFS guidance models are hinting at a relative low level jet across the Florida panhandle, Georgia and Alabama tomorrow morning. This will help add some speed shear to the environment. Moisture will continue to increase during the night, which will also help with thunderstorm development.
The storms will likely move into town early in the morning and continue after dawn. The rain will likely temper down in the afternoon.
The low tonight should be around 68. The high on Monday should be around 70.
Temps will tank Tuesday night and Wednesday morning after the passage of the front, so don’t put your winter weather clothing away just yet.