I sort of blew my forecast a bit as the rain came in a little earlier this morning than anticipated. Thunder roared through Tallahassee at around 6 AM – that’s at least when I remember waking up to it.
Through 5 PM EDT today, Tallahassee has recorded 2.28 inches of rain – breaking a the record for the day set in 2004 (2.12 inches). With hours left of the month of April, Tallahassee has a surplus of over 9 inches per the latest climate report.
Thursday looks to be more of the same, but maybe not as intense. The front is expected to hang around and provide moisture and uplift for rain. The SREF ensemble mean has rain chances dropping during the day for TLH, but it might be picking up on the front moving a bit further east. I’ll keep chances for TLH around 50 percent.
On Friday, another upper trough is expected to move from near New Mexico to the east Thursday into Friday. I feel this may provide better chances of rain.
For now, I’m expecting not much diurnal changes in temps tonight and Thursday. I’ll call for a low tonight near 66 and a high near 75.